Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 46.4%). Look for Fraser on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCormick wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Fraser shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Fraser 46.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 59.1%
Defensive zone
McCormick 62.3%
Neutral zone
Fraser 52.6%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
McCormick
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McCormick
Fraser
Last 7: McCormick 1-6 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
0
3
McCormick
Fraser
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
3
McCormick
Fraser
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
48.0% (1,036)
-1.7%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
58.3% (36)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
35.8% (187)
+5.8%
On power play, Fraser has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. McCormick is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (515).
McCormick shoots right. Fraser is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
McCormick
Fraser
Home
47.9% (486)
48.6% (661)
Away
42.6% (364)
44.0% (602)
By Period
McCormick
Fraser
P1
47.8%
46.7%
P2
42.4%
46.4%
P3
46.5%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |