Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 46.1%). Look for McCormick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCormick wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bolland shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Bolland 46.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 55.4%
Defensive zone
McCormick 52.1%
Neutral zone
McCormick 50.0%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McCormick
Bolland
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McCormick
Bolland
Last 6: McCormick 2-4 Bolland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
0
2
McCormick
Bolland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
1
McCormick
Bolland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
0
1
McCormick
Bolland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Bolland
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
46.6% (3,388)
-0.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
50.1% (355)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
40.7% (585)
+0.9%
On power play, Bolland has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bolland shoots right. McCormick is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (335).
McCormick shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Home / Away
McCormick
Bolland
Home
47.9% (486)
48.2% (2,258)
Away
42.6% (364)
43.8% (2,080)
By Period
McCormick
Bolland
P1
47.8%
45.8%
P2
42.4%
45.8%
P3
46.5%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
35.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |