Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCormick wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Spezza 54.7% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 55.7%
Defensive zone
McCormick 86.1%
Neutral zone
McCormick 71.3%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
McCormick
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
McCormick
Spezza
Last 10: McCormick 3-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McCormick
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
3
McCormick
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
3
McCormick
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
54.4% (7,990)
-8.1%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
56.8% (1,726)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
52.7% (643)
-11.1%
On power play, Spezza has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. McCormick is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (335).
McCormick shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
McCormick
Spezza
Home
47.9% (486)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
42.6% (364)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
McCormick
Spezza
P1
47.8%
55.7%
P2
42.4%
54.4%
P3
46.5%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Cody McCormick |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Cody McCormick |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |