Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCormick wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 43.8% vs Thornton 54.1% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 87.7%
Defensive zone
Thornton 66.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 74.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
McCormick
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McCormick
Thornton
Last 8: McCormick 5-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
1
0
McCormick
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
1
McCormick
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCormick
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (303)
52.8% (922)
-11.2%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
56.1% (196)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
62.0% (100)
+4.7%
On power play, Thornton has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. McCormick is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (198).
McCormick shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
McCormick
Thornton
Home
45.6% (182)
54.9% (597)
Away
36.6% (134)
54.0% (643)
By Period
McCormick
Thornton
P1
45.8%
53.0%
P2
40.0%
51.2%
P3
38.6%
57.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
41.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |