Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). McCormick wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Thornton 54.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 73.7%
Defensive zone
McCormick 70.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 52.4%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
McCormick
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
McCormick
Thornton
Last 10: McCormick 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCormick
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
4
1
McCormick
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
7
McCormick
Thornton
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
53.5% (6,640)
-7.2%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
57.2% (1,387)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
56.7% (427)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. McCormick is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (515).
McCormick shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
McCormick
Thornton
Home
47.9% (486)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
42.6% (364)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
McCormick
Thornton
P1
47.8%
55.0%
P2
42.4%
53.3%
P3
46.5%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |