Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 50.0% vs Thornton 57.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 75.5%
Defensive zone
McCormick 69.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 55.2%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
McCormick
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McCormick
Thornton
Last 5: McCormick 2-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
McCormick
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
0
McCormick
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
McCormick
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (196)
58.7% (722)
-5.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
58.5% (147)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
51.2% (86)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. McCormick is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
McCormick shoots right. Thornton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
McCormick
Thornton
Home
52.2% (161)
60.1% (496)
Away
47.4% (133)
55.8% (459)
By Period
McCormick
Thornton
P1
48.5%
60.4%
P2
46.7%
54.7%
P3
54.0%
58.2%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.0%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |