Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cave wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 48.6% vs Malkin 50.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.4%
Defensive zone
Cave 72.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 54.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Cave
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cave
Malkin
Last 7: Cave 4-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Cave
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
3
0
Cave
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
1
0
Cave
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (66)
50.5% (774)
-2.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.3% (92)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
10.0% (10)
+20.0%
On power play, Cave has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cave is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Cave shoots left. Malkin is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Cave
Malkin
Home
45.5% (44)
49.1% (411)
Away
48.5% (33)
51.4% (465)
By Period
Cave
Malkin
P1
50.0%
49.5%
P2
34.5%
54.7%
P3
60.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Colby Cave |