Scouting Report
Colby Cave holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cave on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs Malkin 45.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.0%
Defensive zone
Cave 83.5%
Neutral zone
Cave 66.0%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Cave
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cave
Malkin
Last 8: Cave 5-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Cave
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
4
0
Cave
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
1
0
Cave
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
45.6% (10,081)
+4.5%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
50.1% (668)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
32.2% (59)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Cave has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Cave shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Cave
Malkin
Home
46.8% (233)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
51.3% (267)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Cave
Malkin
P1
46.3%
45.9%
P2
48.3%
46.2%
P3
53.7%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Colby Cave |