Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.1%). Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs McKegg 49.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 51.8%
Defensive zone
Cave 50.9%
Neutral zone
McKegg 51.1%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Cave
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cave
McKegg
Last 7: Cave 3-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
4
Cave
McKegg
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
49.1% (1,143)
+1.0%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
50.0% (24)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
48.8% (86)
-6.9%
On power play, McKegg has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Cave shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Cave
McKegg
Home
46.8% (233)
50.4% (554)
Away
51.3% (267)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Cave
McKegg
P1
46.3%
48.7%
P2
48.3%
49.9%
P3
53.7%
48.6%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Colby Cave |