Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Cave wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Winchester shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs Winchester 53.7% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Cave 51.8%
Defensive zone
Winchester 52.5%
Neutral zone
Winchester 50.8%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Cave
Winchester
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Winchester
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
55.2% (716)
-5.1%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
46.7% (15)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
51.4% (175)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Winchester has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winchester shoots right. Cave is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Cave shoots left. Winchester is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Cave
Winchester
Home
46.8% (233)
54.7% (459)
Away
51.3% (267)
53.4% (451)
By Period
Cave
Winchester
P1
46.3%
47.8%
P2
48.3%
57.8%
P3
53.7%
56.2%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%