Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 50.1% vs Tavares 54.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cave 52.0%
Defensive zone
Cave 71.2%
Neutral zone
Cave 60.5%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Cave
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Cave
Tavares
Last 10: Cave 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
4
Cave
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cave
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Cave
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (356)
53.0% (1,201)
-2.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
61.5% (262)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
53.8% (65)
-6.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Cave shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Cave
Tavares
Home
46.7% (184)
57.5% (762)
Away
53.0% (215)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Cave
Tavares
P1
45.3%
54.5%
P2
51.9%
53.2%
P3
53.6%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |