Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.8%
Defensive zone
Cave 86.0%
Neutral zone
Cave 65.8%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Cave
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Cave
Tavares
Last 10: Cave 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
4
Cave
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cave
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Cave
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
54.0% (16,108)
-3.9%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
56.5% (4,283)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
50.6% (620)
-8.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Cave shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Cave
Tavares
Home
46.8% (233)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
51.3% (267)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Cave
Tavares
P1
46.3%
55.0%
P2
48.3%
54.1%
P3
53.7%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |