Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 50.1% vs Marleau 50.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 59.5%
Defensive zone
Cave 70.6%
Neutral zone
Cave 53.2%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Cave
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cave
Marleau
Last 8: Cave 3-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Cave
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Cave
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
2
1
Cave
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (356)
52.6% (152)
-1.8%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
45.8% (48)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
66.7% (3)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Cave shoots left. Marleau is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Cave
Marleau
Home
46.7% (184)
50.8% (122)
Away
53.0% (215)
51.9% (81)
By Period
Cave
Marleau
P1
45.3%
47.5%
P2
51.9%
55.4%
P3
53.6%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Colby Cave |