Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs Marleau 50.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 51.2%
Defensive zone
Cave 64.2%
Neutral zone
Cave 57.7%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Cave
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cave
Marleau
Last 8: Cave 3-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Cave
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Cave
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
2
1
Cave
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
50.3% (2,656)
-0.2%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
55.7% (332)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
50.7% (452)
-8.8%
On power play, Marleau has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Cave shoots left. Marleau is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Cave
Marleau
Home
46.8% (233)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
51.3% (267)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
Cave
Marleau
P1
46.3%
52.2%
P2
48.3%
49.5%
P3
53.7%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
55.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Colby Cave |