Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Guttman on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Guttman wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 50.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Guttman leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 64.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Guttman
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Guttman
Tavares
Last 10: Guttman 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guttman
3
2
Guttman
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guttman
5
3
Guttman
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (272)
54.0% (16,108)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
56.5% (4,283)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
50.6% (620)
-33.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Guttman is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Guttman shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Guttman
Tavares
Home
57.6% (118)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
46.8% (171)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Guttman
Tavares
P1
47.6%
55.0%
P2
51.5%
54.1%
P3
56.3%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |