Scouting Report
Cole Guttman holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Guttman wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 50.9% vs Johnston 49.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 62.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 61.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 59.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Guttman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Guttman
Johnston
Last 8: Guttman 2-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Guttman
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
4
Guttman
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guttman
2
1
Guttman
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (272)
49.3% (2,024)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
52.7% (165)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.6% (233)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Guttman is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Guttman shoots right. Johnston is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Guttman
Johnston
Home
57.6% (118)
49.4% (1,211)
Away
46.8% (171)
48.7% (1,211)
By Period
Guttman
Johnston
P1
47.6%
49.7%
P2
51.5%
48.5%
P3
56.3%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |