Scouting Report
Cole Guttman holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Guttman wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 50.9% vs Johnston 49.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 59.3%
Defensive zone
Johnston 59.8%
Neutral zone
Johnston 54.8%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Guttman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Guttman
Johnston
Last 8: Guttman 2-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Guttman
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
4
Guttman
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guttman
2
1
Guttman
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (272)
49.3% (2,189)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
52.6% (173)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.7% (237)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Guttman is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Guttman shoots right. Johnston is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Guttman
Johnston
Home
57.6% (118)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
46.8% (171)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Guttman
Johnston
P1
47.6%
50.1%
P2
51.5%
48.3%
P3
56.3%
48.8%
OT
0.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |