Scouting Report
Cole Guttman holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 51.3% vs Johnston 44.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 68.9%
Defensive zone
Johnston 66.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 69.9%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Guttman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Guttman
Johnston
Last 7: Guttman 2-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Guttman
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
3
Guttman
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guttman
2
1
Guttman
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (161)
42.5% (318)
+8.4%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
55.6% (9)
+19.4%
On power play, Guttman has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Guttman is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Guttman shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Guttman
Johnston
Home
59.3% (59)
40.5% (168)
Away
48.2% (110)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Guttman
Johnston
P1
46.2%
46.9%
P2
51.8%
40.4%
P3
60.4%
41.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
52.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |