Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +27.8% FO% edge overall. Perfetti wins 19.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perfetti 42.5% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-27.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perfetti 81.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.5%
Neutral zone
Perfetti 56.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Perfetti
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Perfetti
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Perfetti
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perfetti
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
31.6% (57)
58.6% (797)
-27.0%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
62.5% (24)
-32.5%
On power play, Stenlund has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Perfetti is 19.0% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Perfetti shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Perfetti
Stenlund
Home
27.5% (40)
58.6% (548)
Away
37.0% (27)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Perfetti
Stenlund
P1
34.6%
60.2%
P2
32.0%
59.1%
P3
25.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
21.4%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perfetti
38.0%▲
34.6%
31.3%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |