Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schwindt shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Schwindt 46.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 59.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 78.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 69.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Howden
Schwindt
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Howden
Schwindt
Last 5: Howden 5-0 Schwindt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Schwindt
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Schwindt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Schwindt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
43.4% (122)
+7.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
75.0% (4)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
44.4% (9)
+3.9%
On power play, Schwindt has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Schwindt is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Howden
Schwindt
Home
47.7% (195)
40.3% (77)
Away
52.8% (233)
50.0% (58)
By Period
Howden
Schwindt
P1
51.1%
47.6%
P2
52.6%
42.9%
P3
48.8%
43.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Brett Howden |