Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 46.8% vs Harkins 50.9% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Harkins 58.6%
Defensive zone
Harkins 61.1%
Neutral zone
Harkins 59.4%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Schwindt
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schwindt
Harkins
Last 5: Schwindt 3-2 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Harkins
0
1
Schwindt
Harkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schwindt
Harkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwindt
2
0
Schwindt
Harkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (122)
49.7% (173)
-6.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
77.8% (9)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
66.7% (3)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Harkins has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Schwindt is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Schwindt shoots right. Harkins is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Harkins
Home
40.3% (77)
55.3% (85)
Away
50.0% (58)
48.0% (100)
By Period
Schwindt
Harkins
P1
47.6%
71.4%
P2
42.9%
41.8%
P3
43.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |