Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Schwindt wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 50.3% vs Harkins 52.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 73.9%
Defensive zone
Harkins 71.7%
Neutral zone
Harkins 56.4%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Schwindt
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schwindt
Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schwindt
Harkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (209)
50.7% (152)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
59.1% (66)
+12.3%
On power play, Harkins has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Schwindt is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Schwindt shoots right. Harkins is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Harkins
Home
47.2% (123)
54.8% (115)
Away
54.7% (95)
51.9% (104)
By Period
Schwindt
Harkins
P1
50.8%
51.4%
P2
51.2%
53.3%
P3
49.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |