Scouting Report
Cole Schwindt holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwindt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schwindt wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ostlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 49.0% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 65.9%
Defensive zone
Schwindt 75.0%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 58.1%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Schwindt
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schwindt
Ostlund
Last 5: Schwindt 3-2 Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
0
Schwindt
Ostlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Schwindt
Ostlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwindt
2
1
Schwindt
Ostlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (370)
32.5% (283)
+15.6%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
11.1% (9)
+55.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
33.3% (3)
+23.0%
On power play, Schwindt has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Schwindt is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Schwindt shoots right. Ostlund is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Ostlund
Home
45.5% (213)
37.0% (154)
Away
52.5% (179)
26.2% (141)
By Period
Schwindt
Ostlund
P1
51.8%
34.6%
P2
48.6%
32.0%
P3
46.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
23.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Noah Ostlund |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |