Scouting Report
Cole Schwindt holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwindt on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schwindt wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 48.9% vs Kelly 41.4% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Schwindt
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schwindt
Kelly
Last 5: Schwindt 4-1 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
0
Schwindt
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwindt
4
1
Schwindt
Kelly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (337)
41.6% (722)
+6.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
0.0% (3)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
36.5% (170)
+16.8%
On power play, Schwindt has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Schwindt is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Schwindt shoots right. Kelly is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Kelly
Home
44.6% (186)
42.2% (457)
Away
52.9% (170)
38.6% (438)
By Period
Schwindt
Kelly
P1
51.5%
41.5%
P2
49.6%
44.9%
P3
45.2%
35.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |