Scouting Report
Cole Schwindt holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwindt on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schwindt wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 49.0% vs Kelly 41.8% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 93.8%
Defensive zone
Schwindt 53.6%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 74.1%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Schwindt
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schwindt
Kelly
Last 5: Schwindt 4-1 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
0
Schwindt
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwindt
4
1
Schwindt
Kelly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (370)
41.9% (756)
+6.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
0.0% (3)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
37.2% (172)
+19.1%
On power play, Schwindt has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Schwindt is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Schwindt shoots right. Kelly is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Kelly
Home
45.5% (213)
42.5% (475)
Away
52.5% (179)
39.3% (456)
By Period
Schwindt
Kelly
P1
51.8%
42.4%
P2
48.6%
44.7%
P3
46.2%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |