Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Sillinger 45.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 96.0%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 50.1%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 71.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Tkachuk
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Tkachuk
Sillinger
Last 8: Tkachuk 7-1 Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
0
Tkachuk
Sillinger
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Sillinger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
44.6% (639)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
54.3% (35)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
18.2% (22)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Sillinger has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sillinger
Home
49.9% (389)
45.5% (365)
Away
46.8% (376)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sillinger
P1
44.4%
42.5%
P2
51.8%
43.9%
P3
47.8%
46.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |