Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Bedard 39.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 56.8%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 68.3%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 67.1%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Sillinger
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sillinger
Bedard
Last 5: Sillinger 3-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
2
Sillinger
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
38.0% (618)
+8.5%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
38.7% (31)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
57.1% (7)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Sillinger is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Sillinger shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Bedard
Home
48.7% (339)
40.5% (316)
Away
43.4% (311)
36.2% (340)
By Period
Sillinger
Bedard
P1
46.3%
37.2%
P2
47.9%
36.9%
P3
44.0%
40.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |