Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Cozens 48.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 55.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 57.9%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 60.6%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Sillinger
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Sillinger
Cozens
Last 9: Sillinger 4-5 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
2
Sillinger
Cozens
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Cozens
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sillinger
Cozens
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
49.4% (859)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
49.5% (186)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
39.5% (129)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Cozens
Home
45.5% (365)
49.0% (600)
Away
42.9% (331)
47.6% (574)
By Period
Sillinger
Cozens
P1
42.5%
46.5%
P2
43.9%
52.9%
P3
46.3%
45.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |