Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Rodrigues 49.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 57.6%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 56.2%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 62.4%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Sillinger
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sillinger
Rodrigues
Last 6: Sillinger 2-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Sillinger
Rodrigues
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Sillinger
Rodrigues
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
54.4% (180)
-9.8%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
32.0% (25)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
36.1% (36)
-17.9%
On power play, Sillinger has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Rodrigues
Home
45.5% (365)
47.9% (119)
Away
42.9% (331)
50.8% (122)
By Period
Sillinger
Rodrigues
P1
42.5%
53.8%
P2
43.9%
51.9%
P3
46.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |