Scouting Report
Gemel Smith holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Smith 47.7% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 51.9%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 51.9%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 53.0%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Sillinger
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
48.6% (212)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
9.1% (11)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Sillinger has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Smith is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Smith
Home
46.5% (1,620)
43.0% (114)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
50.4% (113)
By Period
Sillinger
Smith
P1
45.6%
45.6%
P2
45.5%
49.4%
P3
45.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.7%