Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs McBain 49.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 56.3%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 56.7%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 50.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Sillinger
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sillinger
McBain
Last 6: Sillinger 3-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
3
Sillinger
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
51.2% (424)
-4.7%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
46.2% (13)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
27.3% (22)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Sillinger has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sillinger shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Sillinger
McBain
Home
48.7% (339)
53.6% (235)
Away
43.4% (311)
46.0% (224)
By Period
Sillinger
McBain
P1
46.3%
48.6%
P2
47.9%
50.9%
P3
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Jack McBain |