Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Beagle 56.7% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 62.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 78.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 83.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Sillinger
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sillinger
Beagle
Last 5: Sillinger 4-1 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Sillinger
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
57.5% (4,994)
-11.4%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
60.5% (119)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
54.2% (1,554)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Sillinger is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,109).
Sillinger shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Beagle
Home
46.5% (1,620)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Sillinger
Beagle
P1
45.6%
57.4%
P2
45.5%
57.1%
P3
45.8%
56.2%
OT
47.8%
41.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |