Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Veleno 48.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 74.5%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 59.2%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 61.1%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Sillinger
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Sillinger
Veleno
Last 6: Sillinger 1-5 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Sillinger
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
4
Sillinger
Veleno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
49.1% (438)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
37.5% (16)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
16.7% (6)
+13.6%
On power play, Sillinger has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Sillinger shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Veleno
Home
47.9% (374)
44.0% (184)
Away
45.2% (405)
51.1% (276)
By Period
Sillinger
Veleno
P1
48.5%
50.8%
P2
47.8%
50.4%
P3
42.8%
43.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:20 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |