Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Stenlund 51.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 61.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 91.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 75.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 81.2%
18.8%
81.2%
Sillinger
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Sillinger
Stenlund
Last 6: Sillinger 5-1 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
0
Sillinger
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
54.4% (592)
-7.0%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
42.9% (14)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
44.1% (229)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Sillinger is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Sillinger shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Stenlund
Home
45.9% (488)
50.7% (402)
Away
46.7% (484)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Sillinger
Stenlund
P1
45.0%
56.5%
P2
44.5%
52.4%
P3
49.5%
45.2%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |