Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Kadri 49.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.5%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 57.7%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 50.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Sillinger
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sillinger
Kadri
Last 5: Sillinger 3-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Sillinger
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
47.7% (975)
-0.3%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
54.0% (226)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
55.6% (9)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Kadri
Home
45.9% (488)
48.3% (621)
Away
46.7% (484)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Sillinger
Kadri
P1
45.0%
48.1%
P2
44.5%
48.9%
P3
49.5%
49.8%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
46.3%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |