Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 62.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 88.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Sillinger
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sillinger
Bjugstad
Last 7: Sillinger 5-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
4
1
Sillinger
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
49.4% (867)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
56.0% (25)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
40.7% (216)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Bjugstad
Home
45.5% (365)
46.5% (480)
Away
42.9% (331)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Sillinger
Bjugstad
P1
42.5%
48.7%
P2
43.9%
45.6%
P3
46.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |