Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Bonino 50.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 78.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 60.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Sillinger
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Sillinger
Bonino
Last 9: Sillinger 5-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Sillinger
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
1
Sillinger
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
50.6% (8,315)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
54.1% (972)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
44.6% (1,693)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Bonino
Home
46.5% (1,620)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Sillinger
Bonino
P1
45.6%
50.6%
P2
45.5%
48.5%
P3
45.8%
51.1%
OT
47.8%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |