Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Bonino 50.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 65.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 81.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Sillinger
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sillinger
Bonino
Last 5: Sillinger 3-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Sillinger
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
51.8% (305)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
48.5% (101)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Bonino
Home
45.9% (488)
53.1% (177)
Away
46.7% (484)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Sillinger
Bonino
P1
45.0%
55.9%
P2
44.5%
49.6%
P3
49.5%
47.6%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |