Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Patrick 48.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 55.5%
Defensive zone
Patrick 59.2%
Neutral zone
Patrick 56.4%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Sillinger
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sillinger
Patrick
Last 6: Sillinger 4-2 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Patrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sillinger
Patrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
47.4% (156)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
56.3% (16)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Sillinger is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Sillinger shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Patrick
Home
47.9% (374)
43.8% (96)
Away
45.2% (405)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Sillinger
Patrick
P1
48.5%
44.4%
P2
47.8%
45.6%
P3
42.8%
56.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |