Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Johnson 52.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 59.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 86.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 61.5%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Sillinger
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sillinger
Johnson
Last 5: Sillinger 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
0
Sillinger
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Sillinger
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
55.4% (186)
-10.8%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
100.0% (3)
-45.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
37.8% (37)
-19.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Johnson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Johnson
Home
45.5% (365)
51.6% (95)
Away
42.9% (331)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Sillinger
Johnson
P1
42.5%
46.7%
P2
43.9%
50.5%
P3
46.3%
58.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |