Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Thomas 52.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 52.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 57.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Sillinger
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Sillinger
Thomas
Last 10: Sillinger 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
1
Sillinger
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Sillinger
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Sillinger
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
53.6% (924)
-9.0%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
55.2% (181)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
44.0% (116)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Thomas
Home
45.5% (365)
53.6% (606)
Away
42.9% (331)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Sillinger
Thomas
P1
42.5%
48.2%
P2
43.9%
55.3%
P3
46.3%
55.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |