Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Donato 44.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 61.0%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 66.2%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 57.7%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Sillinger
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sillinger
Donato
Last 8: Sillinger 5-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sillinger
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
44.2% (1,179)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
46.3% (246)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
36.4% (11)
+0.5%
On power play, Sillinger has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Donato
Home
46.5% (1,620)
47.2% (743)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Sillinger
Donato
P1
45.6%
43.4%
P2
45.5%
45.1%
P3
45.8%
44.4%
OT
47.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |