Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Donato 45.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 70.7%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 63.1%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 50.7%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Sillinger
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sillinger
Donato
Last 8: Sillinger 5-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sillinger
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,792)
44.4% (1,096)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
46.3% (240)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
36.4% (11)
+0.5%
On power play, Sillinger has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,088).
Sillinger shoots left. Donato is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Donato
Home
46.5% (1,615)
47.7% (708)
Away
44.8% (1,582)
41.3% (639)
By Period
Sillinger
Donato
P1
45.7%
43.5%
P2
45.4%
45.4%
P3
45.9%
44.4%
OT
47.8%
77.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
45.7%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |