Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 81.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 73.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 61.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Sillinger
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Sillinger
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Sillinger
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
59.8% (625)
-15.2%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
58.2% (196)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
51.9% (27)
-33.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Johansen
Home
45.5% (365)
60.3% (436)
Away
42.9% (331)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Sillinger
Johansen
P1
42.5%
61.3%
P2
43.9%
60.4%
P3
46.3%
56.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |