Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 45.4%). Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Frederic 46.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 51.3%
Defensive zone
Frederic 54.8%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 50.5%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Sillinger
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sillinger
Frederic
Last 5: Sillinger 3-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Sillinger
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Frederic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
45.8% (262)
+1.6%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
57.1% (7)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
36.4% (22)
+0.0%
On power play, Frederic has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Frederic is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Frederic
Home
45.9% (488)
44.1% (152)
Away
46.7% (484)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Sillinger
Frederic
P1
45.0%
41.7%
P2
44.5%
48.9%
P3
49.5%
45.6%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |