Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 50.0% vs Dewar 45.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 53.3%
Defensive zone
Dewar 77.7%
Neutral zone
Dewar 63.1%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Blackwell
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Blackwell
Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Blackwell
Dewar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
45.4% (443)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
28.8% (52)
+4.5%
On even strength, Blackwell has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Blackwell is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Blackwell shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Dewar
Home
57.9% (19)
43.3% (238)
Away
41.2% (17)
44.9% (265)
By Period
Blackwell
Dewar
P1
45.5%
41.7%
P2
57.1%
46.1%
P3
45.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.0%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |