Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 58.7%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 90.3%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 73.7%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Blackwell
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Blackwell
Suzuki
Last 6: Blackwell 0-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Blackwell
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Blackwell
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (698)
49.4% (6,327)
-0.3%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
50.7% (1,338)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (260)
43.6% (456)
-2.8%
On power play, Blackwell has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Blackwell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Blackwell shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Suzuki
Home
45.8% (480)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
49.0% (516)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Blackwell
Suzuki
P1
47.1%
48.8%
P2
47.7%
49.1%
P3
47.6%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |