Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.6%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.4% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 61.9%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 73.0%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 55.7%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Blackwell
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Blackwell
Suzuki
Last 5: Blackwell 0-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Blackwell
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Blackwell
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (127)
50.3% (1,075)
-0.7%
Power Play
76.9% (13)
49.3% (219)
+27.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
43.1% (116)
-8.6%
On power play, Blackwell has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Blackwell is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Blackwell shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Suzuki
Home
53.9% (76)
53.6% (711)
Away
45.2% (93)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Blackwell
Suzuki
P1
43.4%
48.5%
P2
50.0%
51.7%
P3
53.8%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |