Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.6% vs Fraser 50.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCormick 57.2%
Defensive zone
McCormick 75.0%
Neutral zone
McCormick 62.3%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
McCormick
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McCormick
Fraser
Last 5: McCormick 1-4 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
0
3
McCormick
Fraser
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCormick
Fraser
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (168)
49.4% (162)
-3.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
83.3% (6)
-83.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
40.0% (5)
+1.4%
On power play, Fraser has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. McCormick is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (128).
McCormick shoots right. Fraser is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
McCormick
Fraser
Home
44.7% (114)
50.0% (84)
Away
45.2% (84)
50.6% (89)
By Period
McCormick
Fraser
P1
46.9%
53.9%
P2
38.6%
51.6%
P3
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
44.9%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |