Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Benn 46.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 60.3%
Defensive zone
Benn 53.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 58.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Fraser
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fraser
Benn
Last 5: Fraser 1-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Fraser
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
Fraser
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
46.4% (612)
+2.4%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
43.2% (95)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
57.6% (33)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Fraser
Benn
Home
49.7% (189)
48.5% (377)
Away
44.8% (181)
43.9% (374)
By Period
Fraser
Benn
P1
44.6%
40.4%
P2
48.1%
52.1%
P3
49.1%
46.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |