Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Benn 52.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 64.0%
Defensive zone
Fraser 79.3%
Neutral zone
Fraser 62.7%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Fraser
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Fraser
Benn
Last 8: Fraser 3-5 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
Fraser
Benn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
Benn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Fraser
Benn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
53.5% (6,450)
-5.5%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
52.5% (2,054)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
49.3% (515)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Fraser
Benn
Home
48.6% (661)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
44.0% (602)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Fraser
Benn
P1
46.7%
51.9%
P2
46.4%
52.6%
P3
46.2%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
62.4%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |