Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Stoll 55.0% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 85.4%
Defensive zone
Fraser 89.0%
Neutral zone
Fraser 86.3%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Fraser
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Fraser
Stoll
Last 9: Fraser 2-7 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
5
Fraser
Stoll
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
56.0% (4,886)
-8.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
56.5% (496)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
50.7% (1,087)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Fraser is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Fraser shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Home / Away
Fraser
Stoll
Home
48.6% (661)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
44.0% (602)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Fraser
Stoll
P1
46.7%
54.2%
P2
46.4%
55.8%
P3
46.2%
55.3%
OT
33.3%
52.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |