Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs McClement 51.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 50.1%
Defensive zone
McClement 85.8%
Neutral zone
McClement 78.8%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Fraser
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Fraser
McClement
Last 5: Fraser 4-1 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
3
0
Fraser
McClement
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
54.5% (591)
-5.7%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
40.0% (10)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
44.9% (263)
-6.4%
On power play, McClement has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. McClement is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Fraser
McClement
Home
49.7% (189)
55.5% (422)
Away
44.8% (181)
47.5% (451)
By Period
Fraser
McClement
P1
44.6%
50.2%
P2
48.1%
49.5%
P3
49.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |